July 19th, 2006 08:15 PM
After combing some raw data, it seems that car thefts dominate the original crime statistics presented above. That presents a very misleading picture of personal risk and does a huge disservice to the cities so misrepresented.
I was toying with the raw DOJ stats, but their 2004/2005 spreadsheet had a lot of anomalies and was based on absolute # of crimes reported, not # of crimes per 100,000 population. Thus the data isn't normalized to population. It also couldn't be sorted because of the way they merged the cells in the first two columns.
I found some 2003 DOJ data at Infoplease which seemed well ordered but again wasn't sortable. I concentrated on the murder rate and eyeballed the following order for the top 10 cities in murders/100,000 population from those listed:
1. New Orleans, LA - 57.7 (before Katrina)
2. Washington, DC - 44.0
3. Baltimore, MD - 41.9
4. Detroit, MI - 39.4
5. Atlanta, GA - 34.3
6. Oakland, CA - 26.8
7. Philadelphia, PA - 23.3
8. Chicago, IL - 20.6
9. Miami, FL - 19.6
10. Memphis, TN - 18.5
FWIW, Camden, NJ, didn't appear in this table or any other I found with raw data. The murder rate for DC at #2 is over twice the rate of #8, and this year is up sharply so far from 2003. I suspect for 2005 we'll see DC at #1 with New Orleans' crime moving to Houston and other southern cities.
Humbly presented for the group's consideration...
Last edited by TBob; July 19th, 2006 at 11:02 PM.
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