Would it make a difference?
Over the past few months with the VA Tech, and the Omaha mall shootings, the forum has been full of scenarios and what if's regarding gun free zones.
My question is, how much of a differnence would it make if those areas where not restricted to concealed carry of firearms, or would it make a difference at all?
I am going to use Texas as an example. In Texas only about 260,000 out of 23,000,000 people have concealed carry permits. That is only a bit over 1% of the population. From the information on this forum which by no means is scientific, I am saying that about 1/2 of the concealed carry holders would, (if, the opportunity presented itself, no rambo's here), attempt to stop the threat of a person on a shooting rampage.
So out of 200 people in a given enviroment, 1 would be willing and able, if the situation presented itself to attempt to stop the killing. Given that the areas of VA Tech and malls and the like are large, the probability of a person with a CCL being in the immediate area of the shootings goes down substantially lower than the 1%.
Would eliminating gun free zones be able to make an dissernable difference in the number of people that die in situations like this? For the person that has the permit, it is a given, I think we all can agree on that, but for the population as a whole would there be any difference in the numbers of deaths during the few minutes these things play out?
Based on the numbers, my answer is no, it won't make any difference to the population as a whole, not until there are substantially more individuals with permits.
Mods, please move if needed. Thanks.