As we have discussed here many times, crime is opportunistic and seeks out victims:
Crime Migrates to the Suburbs - WSJ.com
Statistics............I'd like to see detailed statistics rather than macro as noted:
The article does focus, unfortunately, on predominantly "Southern" cities (where one might argue gun controls are "lax" - not my opinion, folks, merely an observation), I would like to see analysis of Detroit, Oakland, Portland, Chicago and Newark, for instance............However they did include Pittsburg...........The decline in homicides nationally has overshadowed a countertrend: rising murders in the suburbs, the communities that ring cities and have long been promoted as havens from violent crime. U.S. homicides fell sharply from 2001 to 2010, including a 16.7% drop in big cities, according to a federal Bureau of Justice Statistics study of the most recent, reported data. That is because of a host of factors, including better medical treatment for victims of violent injury and aggressive police measures in megacities like New York and Los Angeles.
Another classic:Today, suburban murders, from domestic violence to robberies gone bad to massacres like the Newtown, Conn., school shootings, make up about a quarter of all homicides in the U.S., up from 20.7% in 2001, according to the BJS. The sharpest increases in violent crime appear to be in suburbs of cities, including those of Houston, Pittsburgh, and Atlanta. The violent-crime rate in Atlanta's suburbs rose 23% between 2000 and 2008, while the city of Atlanta's violent-crime rate dropped 49%, according to federal crime data in a May 2011 study by the Brookings Institution, a nonpartisan think tank in Washington.
Houston can state the same I bet.......The patterns have hardly been uniform. While New York (See my End Note) last week said there had been 414 homicides in the city for 2012, the lowest since the city started recording such data in 1963, Chicago saw homicides go above 500 this year for the first time since 2008, reversing a three-year downward trend.
And.........In 2005, "when the Katrina people came, then it all went down fast," she said.
The interactive is also interesting. I'll add that link in a minute. I hope this works for ya'll. Per capita would be nice too."It's not safe outside the city," he said.
We have all noted, based on informal observations, that suburban crime appears to be increasing. Not this this is the end-all-be-all, but it certainly argues that an appropriate level of SA is needed everywhere........
Imagine that, NY without a single justifiable homicide in some years! Does that mean they define "justifiable" very narrowly, or is that where Cuomo and Bloomberg hide the real bodies to massage their statistics?Some states, including New York, reported no justifiable homicides at all for some years.
As in all statistical analysis, consider the sources, the motives and the like before picking fights
By Rob Barry, Madeline Farbman, Jon Keegan, and Palani Kumanan. Source: FBI
The FBI collects this data from the states, except for Florida. Florida doesn't use the FBI's guidelines when reporting additional information about homicides. The FBI data don't capture all homicides. The states' reporting is voluntary, and the country's thousands of police agencies aren't consistent in how they report.