One rig out of commission, and one refinery (14K bbls/day) temporarily unapproachable? In the past 18mos, prices peaked near ~$5/gal at the pump for automotive gasoline in the USA. Can't see it going anywhere near that, simply based on one rig's valves toasted and one refinery temporarily inaccessible. Check the oil futures at end of day Friday, this week. While I'm no global petro analyst, unless they suggest barrel prices in the range of $200/bbl within 12mos then I highly doubt we'll see the sort of prices or plunges suggested.
What is going to happen when gas shoots up to 5, 6, or 7 dollars a gallon? The economy will tank. There may be thousands more without homes. Perhaps a lot of violence? I have a very bad feeling about the next 3-6 months.