Pew Charitable Trust: Population Projections - USA

This is a discussion on Pew Charitable Trust: Population Projections - USA within the Off Topic & Humor Discussion forums, part of the The Back Porch category; The article does not distinguish between legal and illegal immigration, and I don't believe that is an appropriate topic for this thread, but the article ...

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    Post Pew Charitable Trust: Population Projections - USA

    The article does not distinguish between legal and illegal immigration, and I don't believe that is an appropriate topic for this thread, but the article makes several points that will effect:

    Our Country, it's infrastructure, and our security, both nationally and personally. It will place enormous strains on our schools, our governments, and our countries fiscal health. Are we ready for this?

    Pew Charitable Trust

    Feb 11, 2008: U.S. Population Projections: 2005-2050


    If current trends continue, the population of the United States will rise to 438 million in 2050, from 296 million in 2005, and 82% of the increase will be due to immigrants arriving from 2005 to 2050 and their U.S.-born descendants, according to new projections developed by the Pew Research Center.

    Of the 117 million people added to the population during this period due to the effect of new immigration, 67 million will be the immigrants themselves and 50 million will be their U.S.-born children or grandchildren.

    Among the other key population projections:

    * Nearly one in five Americans (19%) will be an immigrant in 2050, compared with one in eight (12%) in 2005. By 2025, the immigrant, or foreign-born, share of the population will surpass the peak during the last great wave of immigration a century ago.
    * The major role of immigration in national growth builds on the pattern of recent decades, during which immigrants and their U.S.-born children and grandchildren accounted for most population increase. Immigration's importance increased as the average number of births to U.S.-born women dropped sharply before leveling off.
    * The Latino population, already the nation's largest minority group, will triple in size and will account for most of the nation's population growth from 2005 through 2050. Hispanics will make up 29% of the U.S. population in 2050, compared with 14% in 2005.
    * Births in the United States will play a growing role in Hispanic and Asian population growth; as a result, a smaller proportion of both groups will be foreign-born in 2050 than is the case now.
    * The non-Hispanic white population will increase more slowly than other racial and ethnic groups; whites will become a minority (47%) by 2050.
    * The nation's elderly population will more than double in size from 2005 through 2050, as the baby boom generation enters the traditional retirement years. The number of working-age Americans and children will grow more slowly than the elderly population, and will shrink as a share of the total population.

    The Center's projections are based on detailed assumptions about births, deaths and immigration levels--the three key components of population change. All these assumptions are built on recent trends. But it is important to note that these trends can change. All population projections have inherent uncertainties, especially for years further in the future, because they can be affected by changes in behavior, by new immigration policies, or by other events. Nonetheless, projections offer a starting point for understanding and analyzing the parameters of future demographic change.

    The Center's report includes an analysis of the nation's future "dependency ratio"--the number of children and elderly compared with the number of working-age Americans. There were 59 children and elderly people per 100 adults of working age in 2005. That will rise to 72 dependents per 100 adults of working age in 2050.

    The report also offers two alternative population projections, one based on lower immigration assumptions and one based on higher immigration assumptions.

    Read the full report U.S. Population Projections: 2005-2050 on the Pew Hispanic Center Web site.

    This article reflects that over the next 25 to 50 years we all need to be flexible thinkers and creative problems solvers because our society will change significantly, and the risks and rewards of citizenship in this great country may change dramatically.

    These changes will effect our personal safety, and our national security.

    Your thoughts?

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    What I find interesting is that with all of the focus on Global Warming and CO2 emissions lately, not one government or major environmental organization has said that population control is even a blip on the radar screen. Even China has abandoned it's growth policies. because they see the need to add workers in order to feed the growing appetite for cheaply made (and often dangerous) trinkets and baubles. The sad fact is that, even with the most moderate estimates of population growth and climate change, zero growth will only slow the the pace of destruction. Zero growth plus a simpler lifestyle might keep us on an even keel. Dare anyone talk about negative population growth?
    Law without force is impotent.
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    Senior Member Array cmidkiff's Avatar
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    Hispanics will make up 29% of the U.S. population in 2050
    ...
    whites will become a minority (47%) by 2050.
    If Hispanics are 29%, and whites are 47%, even assuming all the remainder are Black, that only puts them at 24%... How does this make whites a minority? These numbers still show Whites as the majority, by 19%.

    Of course, nobody knows if it'll be Hillary or Obama, or even McCain in office this time next year... and according to the 'Global Warming' folks, the coasts will both be flooded by then anyway... and we'll be out of oil... and the global caliphate will have taken over the planet...

    This type of long term projection requires a great deal of assumption... and I for one am not yet willing to concede to another amnesty plan. The people of this nation have the will and the means to secure our border. Oklahoma is showing the nation how to make it happen. Our politicians will just have to be shown that we're not going to back down on this issue.
    Liberty is an inherently offensive lifestyle. Living in a free society guarantees that each one of us will see our most cherished principles and beliefs questioned and in some cases mocked. It's worth it.

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    Global Warming and CO2 emissions lately, not one government or major environmental organization has said that population control is even a blip on the radar screen.
    Sadly enough, "Global Warming" is the "Word of the Day" right now, and it will be several years before it is recognized for what it is........


    If Hispanics are 29%, and whites are 47%, even assuming all the remainder are Black, that only puts them at 24%... How does this make whites a minority? These numbers still show Whites as the majority, by 19%.

    This type of long term projection requires a great deal of assumption... and I for one am not yet willing to concede to another amnesty plan. The people of this nation have the will and the means to secure our border. Oklahoma is showing the nation how to make it happen. Our politicians will just have to be shown that we're not going to back down on this issue.
    I agree that God is in the details, but despite the underlying assumptions on race, the gross growth has been used at various other times too.

    Being right south of the great state of Oklahoma, I am unaware of what the state has done on this matter.

    What really concerns me, whether the growth is internal, immigration, illegal immigration, or some combination, is the stress and burden it will place on a fractured and polarized society and governments. A huge amount of resources will be needed to provide fundamental infrastructure: schools, highways, water plants, electrical generation, and the like. This will come at a price of higher taxes.

    Likewise, the strains on our other resources will be sorely tested: parks, recreation halls, playgrounds, our national and state parks, our water ways, and many other resources (natural and otherwise).

    It looks grim, and I don't see many politicians making hard decisions and taking principle based stands.


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