Could U.S. Gun Owners Defeat Their Own Government in Battle? - Page 5

Could U.S. Gun Owners Defeat Their Own Government in Battle?

This is a discussion on Could U.S. Gun Owners Defeat Their Own Government in Battle? within the Law Enforcement, Military & Homeland Security Discussion forums, part of the Related Topics category; Originally Posted by G26Raven Oooooh! Where can I get one?... I hear they are pretty easy to steal from Camp Pendleton....

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Thread: Could U.S. Gun Owners Defeat Their Own Government in Battle?

  1. #61
    VIP Member Array Havok's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by G26Raven View Post
    Oooooh! Where can I get one?...
    I hear they are pretty easy to steal from Camp Pendleton.
    G26Raven and baren like this.
    We get the government we deserve.

  2. #62
    Member Array tnsoldier4fun's Avatar
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    As someone who spent a good chunk of my life in the military, I would never want to see an armed insurrection happen in my country. For one, the cost in fellow citizens' lives would be enormous. The devastation in infrastructure would, like-wise, be immense. I'm not sure the country could survive such a thing happening.

    But when contemplating such a scenario, I think in the end the insurrectionists would win. It would not be easy or quick. It's not the advantage in tanks, artillery and aircraft that the government would have that would be the biggest factor to defeat. They can all be neutralized in different ways. It's the advantage in C3I for the government forces that would be the hardest thing to overcome. For the insurrectionists, any planning would have to be done well in advance while the government would have instantaneous communications. Throw in things like facial recognition programs, drones for recon and selective targeting, etc. when combined would make the task of insurrection monumentally difficult. I'm not even adding the the mindset of most of the populace that are adverse to risking anything of their own, much less their own skin.

    However, to put down the insurrection, the government would have to curtail individual liberties to the point that even most ardent supporters would, I think, eventually turn against it. At that time, the armed part of the insurrection would have to best chance to overcome the government. Guerrilla attacks all across the country, completed by independent groups, would soon have the government forces chasing their own tail. It's at that point that the question will most likely be decided. If no outside group intervenes, the insurrectionists would probably eventually win. If they do, all bets are off. At least that's how I see it.
    jmf552, G26Raven, airslot and 2 others like this.

  3. #63
    VIP Member Array Hoganbeg's Avatar
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    No one has yet mentioned the cartels or the gangs like MS13; they would be wild cards. Drug use might drop due to the military operations within CONUS but I'd think smuggling of contraband weapons and ammo would be in high demand. I would also expect the gangs to try to expand and consolidate their territories.

    Any thoughts on this?
    "...as politics in Washington and elsewhere grows increasingly un-moored from reality, humanist wisdom provides us with one final consolation: There is no greater lesson from the past than the intractability of human folly." Heather Mac Donald

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  5. #64
    VIP Member Array jmf552's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hoganbeg View Post
    No one has yet mentioned the cartels or the gangs like MS13; they would be wild cards. Drug use might drop due to the military operations within CONUS but I'd think smuggling of contraband weapons and ammo would be in high demand. I would also expect the gangs to try to expand and consolidate their territories.

    Any thoughts on this?
    Interesting question. Looked at a certain way, in an insurrection, all the players become "gangs" in a sense. Currently in Syria and Venezuela, organized crime is rampant, with the government both cooperating with, and competing/fighting with, gangs. Political groups like ISIS use organized crime tactics to fund their operations. People need goods and services that can only be gotten on the black market, creating organized crime opportunities.

    During the Russian Revolution, the Gulags created for political prisoners became breeding grounds for the Russian Mafia. I can see a parallel with MS-13 here. In WWII these gangsters were offered release to fight in the war, giving them military training and access to arms, leaving them very powerful afterwards. Our military supposedly has a significant number of Hispanic gang members in uniform.

    However, in the Cuban Revolution, Castro pretty much drove out organized crime, which was flourishing on the island. Castro's government essentially became the only gang in the country. In WWII, Mussolini saw the Mafia as a threat to his power and effectively suppressed it. Ironically, the US secretly used the Mafia to help keep order in Italy right after the war.

    During the Irish Revolution, Sinn Fein and the IRA were considered to be organized crime by the official British backed government, until they won, and then the "criminals" became the new government. (I recognize that is overly simplistic.)

    So I guess it depends on what role criminal enterprises have before the conflict, what roles they find for themselves during the conflict and what their goals are for after the conflict.
    Attack Squadron 65 "Tigers", USS Eisenhower '80 - '83, peackeeping w/Iran, Libya, Lebanon and E. Europe

  6. #65
    VIP Member Array G26Raven's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hoganbeg View Post
    No one has yet mentioned the cartels or the gangs like MS13; they would be wild cards. Drug use might drop due to the military operations within CONUS but I'd think smuggling of contraband weapons and ammo would be in high demand. I would also expect the gangs to try to expand and consolidate their territories.

    Any thoughts on this?
    That's somewhat the scenario envisioned by a couple of military guys who wrote this book.

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    Hoganbeg likes this.
    So many weapons, so little time.

    Learning occurs only after repetitive, demoralizing failures.

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  7. #66
    Senior Member Array Arejay's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hoganbeg View Post
    No one has yet mentioned the cartels or the gangs like MS13; they would be wild cards. Drug use might drop due to the military operations within CONUS but I'd think smuggling of contraband weapons and ammo would be in high demand. I would also expect the gangs to try to expand and consolidate their territories.

    Any thoughts on this?
    Many gangs are more organized than people give them credit. Many have members with actual combat experience and training and have the weapons to use. Look south of our border to see what's possible here in our country. Those guys aren't getting those weapons from Americans shopping at Cabela's.
    One example..https://ktla.com/2019/07/11/fbi-inve...fs-department/
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    Member Array AndyK's Avatar
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    I think one of the priorities on the insurgent force would be to go after those who caused the problem in the first place. Politicians. If enough congress people, their aides, familes, liberal judges and generals are taken out, the will to continue giving orders to what military will fight will be lost.
    M1911A1, G26Raven and MMinSC like this.

  9. #68
    Member Array Any Day Now's Avatar
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    Interesting thread. Lots of valid points made for both sides of the argument.

    At the end of the day civilians with rifles in open battle vs tanks, jets, bombs, and rockets don't stand a chance.

    But in a scenario like the one proposed, the insurgents do not need the ability to take down an F-35.

    They just need to know where the pilot's family lives.

  10. #69
    VIP Member Array jmf552's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Any Day Now View Post
    But in a scenario like the one proposed, the insurgents do not need the ability to take down an F-35. They just need to know where the pilot's family lives.
    Having been in a combat squadron, I don't think that would work, for the following reasons:
    • There are more pilots than planes. There are always backup pilots on the schedule.
    • There would be no way to know who is on the schedule for any sortie.
    • The op area is generally going to be a long way away from where the pilots live.

    You would have to threaten all military pilot's families. That would get feds raining down on the problem, the families armed and/or moved and the pilots pissed off and wanting to do more damage than they are even supposed to. Doxing and threatening military families crosses a line that has consequences. Aviators are not so easily intimidated.
    KILTED COWBOY likes this.
    Attack Squadron 65 "Tigers", USS Eisenhower '80 - '83, peackeeping w/Iran, Libya, Lebanon and E. Europe

  11. #70
    Member Array Any Day Now's Avatar
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    I wasn't speaking about 1 single pilot specifically...it could be a soldier who turns a wrench or a clerk who shuffles papers...

    Making the families of combatants suffer is a tactic as old as warfare.

    You just have to have the stomach to do it.

  12. #71
    VIP Member Array Havok's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Arejay View Post
    Many gangs are more organized than people give them credit. Many have members with actual combat experience and training and have the weapons to use. Look south of our border to see what's possible here in our country. Those guys aren't getting those weapons from Americans shopping at Cabela's.
    One example..https://ktla.com/2019/07/11/fbi-inve...fs-department/
    That is a perfect example of the strength that the government fears.

    Quote Originally Posted by jmf552 View Post
    Having been in a combat squadron, I don't think that would work, for the following reasons:
    • There are more pilots than planes. There are always backup pilots on the schedule.
    • There would be no way to know who is on the schedule for any sortie.
    • The op area is generally going to be a long way away from where the pilots live.

    You would have to threaten all military pilot's families. That would get feds raining down on the problem, the families armed and/or moved and the pilots pissed off and wanting to do more damage than they are even supposed to. Doxing and threatening military families crosses a line that has consequences. Aviators are not so easily intimidated.
    You're looking at it wrong. You dont need to control all the pilots, you just need to prevent the jets you dont control from getting off the ground. That would be extremely easy to achieve.
    G26Raven likes this.
    We get the government we deserve.

  13. #72
    Member Array gunenthusiast's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by OldChap View Post
    I was privy to some of the think-tank scenarios discussing how to defeat a 4 million man army in the field. The conclusion was that you would need to cross the tactical nuclear threshold to do so. Multiply that number of armed people by 5 or 10 and it becomes necessary to just lay waste to large sections of countryside for 50-75 years. That is one of those factors that make fighting such a war untenable.

    Those old studies are not classified, but their conclusions nevertheless are still valid.
    Well, that could have been good study. However, I would say, to my regret the following should be taken into account:

    1. A bunch of us - armed citizens, are not as organized as US military is, we do not have plans, developed tactics, comand chain, coordination, central planning etc. Incidentally, developing tactics for our cause imminently has a goal to violently overthrow government which is outlawed as far as I know. That means, either those who develop it risk to end up in jail during peace time, or when goventment has already started war against people this tactics will have to be developed on the go.

    2. If government starts war against citizens, it will not be an obvious war. It will be "door to door confiscation" of weapons in some small area. Does the whole citizenry uprise? No. We have seen it not happen during hurricane Katrina. And others. Then there will be anotehr small area. Does the whole citizenry uprise? No. And so on. At some point it will be obvious that that is the government war against people that is going on. By that time only third or the quater of armed citizenry will still be armed. How many will be in uprising? My estimate: less that 10 percent of those who are still armed. How many now participate in active defense of 2nd Amendment, which is less burdensome that war against tough enemy? Much smaller percentage will risk they hides to fight tyranny.

    3. And finally when it is all out war between armed citizenry and US government armed subordinates (which includes all of them not just army). The government side has extremely better weapons (tanks, aviation, drones, and all other fancy stuff...), great tactics, coordination etc. And the institutions taht played all various scenarios and know how to react in each case.

    And yes, I know there are oath keepers. However, they will be taken care of before anything big starts, so, to my regret, they will not matter for the side of citizens.

    Alas, dark picture. Based on my own life experience, and observations.
    Last edited by gunenthusiast; Today at 12:03 AM.

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